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How we predict elections

How we predict elections

His job is to ensure readers and listeners aren’t surprised on election night — that POLITICO has considered and reported on all possible outcomes, including the outliers — those black swan scenarios with seemingly low probabilities. Not just the most likely ones, according to conventional wisdom.

The specter of 2016 still haunts newsrooms.

Bland and Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza dissect how 2016 midterm misses can be applied lessons…


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Pessimism mounts over a global economy facing multiple shocks

Pessimism mounts over a global economy facing multiple shocks

Laura Donnelly in Werewolf by night

Halloween-Fanatic Laura Donnelly on How Her Spooky Traditions Drew Her to “Werewolf by Night”